Schedule
Schedule for Math 152, Statistical Theory, Fall 2022
Here’s your roadmap for the semester! Each week, follow the general process outlined below:
Enjoy the notes / text
Attend class, review the warm-up and solutions if you have any questions after completing it during class.
Complete the HW assignment ( pdf & Rmd linked below), submit the assignment via Gradescope accessed on the course Canvas site.
Discuss the reflection questions and ethics considerations (see the class notes) with your classmates, mentor, and professor.
The textbook is Probability and Statistics (P&S), by DeGroot and Schervish (either 3rd or 4th edition is fine). You should be able to find it online.
| date | agenda | readings | homework | handouts | warm-ups |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 8.30.22 |
• logistics + • priors + • posteriors |
P&S: 7.1-7.2 notes on Bayes |
HW1 pdf HW1 Rmd HW1 turn-in |
Distribution Sheet | WU 1 WU 2 |
| Week 2 9.6.22 |
• posteriors + • Bayes estimators |
P&S: 7.3-7.4 notes on Bayes |
HW2 pdf HW2 Rmd HW2 turn-in |
WU 3 | |
| Week 3 9.13.22 |
• MLE + • consistency + • bias + • MOM |
P&S: 7.5-7.6 notes on MLE |
HW3 pdf HW3 Rmd HW3 turn-in |
Baseball and Bayes | WU 4 WU 5 |
| Week 4 9.20.22 |
• sampling distributions of estimators |
P&S: 6.1-6.3, 8.1-8.4 notes on sampling distributions |
HW4 pdf HW4 Rmd HW4 turn-in |
Tanks | WU 6 WU 7 |
| Week 5 9.27.22 |
• bootstrap sampling distributions |
P&S: 12.6 notes on bootstrap distribution |
HW5 pdf HW5 Rmd HW5 turn-in |
Bootstrapping | WU 8 WU 9 |
| Week 6 10.4.22 |
• frequentist, Bayesian intervals |
P&S: 8.5-8.6 notes on intervals |
HW6 pdf HW6 Rmd HW6 turn-in |
App to compare Freq & Bayes Intervals 2 parameter normal Bayesian |
WU 10 WU 11 |
| Week 7 10.11.22 |
review & catch-up | exam 1 in class 10.13.22 |
HW7 pdf HW7 Rmd not due, ever |
see Canvas for sample exam 1 Q & sol | |
| Tuesday 10.18.22 |
Fall Break | ||||
| Week 8 10.20.22 |
• bootstrap confidence intervals • earthquake! |
notes on intervals | WU 12 | ||
| Week 9 10.25.22 |
• Fisher information + • efficiency + • UMVUE |
P&S: 8.7-8.8 notes on Fisher information |
HW8 pdf HW8 Rmd HW8 turn-in |
WU 13 WU 14 |
|
| Week 10 11.1.22 |
• hypotehsis testing + • simple hypotheses |
P&S: 9.1 notes on hypothesis testing structure |
no HW | WU 15 WU 16 |
|
| Week 11 11.8.22 |
• Neyman-Pearson | P&S: 9.2 notes on Neyman-Pearson |
HW9 pdf HW9 Rmd HW9 turn-in |
WU 17 WU 18 |
|
| Week 12 11.15.22 |
review & catch-up | exam 2 in class 11.17.22 |
HW10 pdf HW10 Rmd not due, ever |
see Canvas for sample exam 2 Q & sol | |
| Week 13 11.22.22 |
• UMP | P&S: 9.3 notes on UMP |
WU 19 | ||
| Thursday 11.24.22 |
Thanksgiving | ||||
| Week 14 11.29.22 |
• two-sided + • t-tests + • LRT + goodness of fit |
P&S: 9.4-9.6 notes on t-tests and LRT |
WU 20 WU 21 |
||
| Week 15 12.6.22 |
• Bayes tests + • foundational ideas |
P&S: 9.8-9.9 notes on Bayes tests and foundational ideas |
HW11 pdf HW11 Rmd HW11 turn-in |
WU 22 | |
| Thursday 12.15.22 2-5pm |
Final Exam | see Canvas for sample final Q & sol |